The
yield curve on US Treasury bonds was reversed for the first time in nearly
three months on Tuesday, due to growing concerns over the outbreak of
coronavirus in China as well as its spread in some other countries.
The
yield curve of U.S. Treasury bonds, which measures the gap between yields on
three-month and 10-year government bonds, was inverted for the first time since
last October.
And
the inverted curve, which sees long-term government treasury bonds give
investors lower returns than those that come shortly, as in the past, it was a
fairly reliable indicator of predicting a U.S. economic recession.
The
number of infected cases in China has risen to 106 and has spread to several
countries, including France, Japan and the United States.
These
developments have contributed to pushing global markets towards safe havens
such as U.S. Treasury bonds, which have contributed to reducing the yield on
those government debt, as there is an inverse relationship between them.
The
gap between yields on three-month government bonds and 10-year government bonds
briefly fell to -0.015 basis points, their lowest level since October, before
returning to around 0.01 basis points.
As
of 08:05 GMT, yields on the three-year U.S. Treasury bills dropped 0.39 percent
to 1.440 percent, and yields on 10-year government bonds also slipped to 1.639
percent.
Later
in the day, eyes will focus on the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s meeting,
where the Fed is widely predicted to hold interest rates, but investors will
focus on the statement, as well as any remarks from Fed President Jerome
Powell.
Markets
have raised their expectations that the Fed will cut U.S interest rates this
year by 25 basis points while there is a 50 percent chance of a second cut
later in 2020, according to federal funds futures.
Meanwhile, the dollar
index, which measures the performance of major six currencies against the US
dollar, advanced 0.07 percent at 97.90.